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ASEAN-China South China Sea Code of Conduct negotiations

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The Philippines' 2026 chairmanship turns the code talks into a time-bound but contested endgame

Key takeaways

  • A South China Sea code would set crisis-management expectations between China and Southeast Asian claimants even if it does not resolve sovereignty disputes.
  • The hardest unresolved questions still center on UNCLOS wording, legal force, enforcement, and how far the text can move beyond symbolic political reassurance.
  • The Philippine-chaired 2026 push increases pressure for a deal, but it also makes maritime friction more likely to spill directly into the bargaining process.

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